C5 4956 · PNS → IAH

departs 3:12 PM CT · arrives 5:06 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 3pm departures from PNS are often late

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4956 · PNS → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?