Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

CHINA AIRLINES · FLIGHT CI 11 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

CI 11 · JFK → TPE

departs 1:27 AM ET · arrives 6:51 AM CST
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 66h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at TPE more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±1 pts −8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.1d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to TPE?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.