Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1084
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Today
DL 1084 · ORD → DTW
departs 7:17 PM CT · arrives 9:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 35%
Mon 11/2 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.