Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1115
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
DL 1115 · DAL → ATL
departs 12:19 PM CT · arrives 3:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 17%
Tue 11/3 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,767 ft Visibility 8.33333 mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.