Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1174
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Today
DL 1174 · ATL → PHL
departs 8:11 PM ET · arrives 10:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.