Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1197
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
DL 1197 · SLC → LAX
departs 10:45 PM MT · arrives 11:42 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/30
Today 16%
Wed 11/4 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
10pm departures from SLC are usually not late
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.22 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.