DL 1222 · ATL → SAT

departs 8:17 PM ET · arrives 9:54 PM CT

Your aircraft is N364DX (A321), coming in as DL 838 from DJT: landed 6:48 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ 8pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.92 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1222 · ATL → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?