Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1278
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Today
DL 1278 · CHS → DTW
departs 6:53 PM ET · arrives 9:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at CHS that day
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
Weather at each end
CHS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.