Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1473
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Today
DL 1473 · ATL → GSO
departs 7:07 PM ET · arrives 8:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/31 11%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 14%
Wed 11/4 14%
Thu 11/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at GSO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to GSO?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
GSO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.