DL 1508 · ATL → SAT

took off 11:07 PM ET · landed 12:10 AM CT (scheduled 10:54 PM ET → 12:20 AM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling471 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.57 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1508 · ATL → SAT

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAT?