Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1517
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
DL 1517 · MCI → LAX
departs 3:55 PM CT · arrives 5:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 14%
Mon 11/2 19%
Tue 11/3 12%
Wed 11/4 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.20 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.