Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1704
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
DL 1704 · DSM → ATL
departs 11:30 AM CT · arrives 2:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Thu 10/29 8%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 8%
Tue 11/3 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DSM that day
↑
Other factors
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
Weather at each end
DSM (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.61 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.