Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1724
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
DL 1724 · BOS → ORD
departs 4:25 PM ET · arrives 6:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 45%
Mon 11/2 38%
Tue 11/3 38%
Wed 11/4 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±6 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 10,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 9,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.