DL 1778 · IAH → LGA

departs 6:47 PM CT · arrives 11:14 PM ET

Your aircraft is N334DU (BCS3), coming in as DL 2644 from MSP: landed 5:38 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LGA that day

↓ IAH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling5,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

LGA (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1778 · IAH → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?