Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1779
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
DL 1779 · PVR → LAX
departs 4:15 PM CST · arrives 6:21 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 31%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 15%
Wed 11/4 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave PVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
LAX is prone to delays
Weather at each end
PVR (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.