Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1795
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
DL 1795 · SAT → LAX
departs 4:44 PM CT · arrives 5:54 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 20%
Wed 11/4 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±5 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 433 ft forecast at SAT that day
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
↓
SAT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 433 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.14 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.