DL 1849 · MCO → JFK

departs 7:48 PM ET · arrives 10:22 PM ET

Your aircraft is N598DN (A21N), coming in as DL 867 from LAX: landed 6:11 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at MCO that day

↓ Gusts to 30 kt forecast at JFK that day

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1849 · MCO → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?