Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1866
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
DL 1866 · MTY → ATL
departs 12:22 PM CST · arrives 5:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1 15%
Mon 11/2 16%
Tue 11/3 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MTY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MTY (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.