DL 2059 · AUS → MCO

took off 7:38 PM CT · landed 10:55 PM ET (scheduled 7:09 PM CT → 10:41 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,133 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at MCO that day

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.27 in

MCO (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2059 · AUS → MCO

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCO?