Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2076
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Today
DL 2076 · DTW → PHX
departs 8:44 PM ET · arrives 9:48 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 58%
Mon 11/2 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
57%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
57%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
35%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.