Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2096
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Today
DL 2096 · MSY → LAX
departs 5:58 PM CT · arrives 8:02 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
29%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 11,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.