Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2176
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
DL 2176 · LAX → DEN
departs 2:53 PM PT · arrives 6:18 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 27%
Sun 11/1 37%
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3 38%
Wed 11/4 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at DEN that day
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.