Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2202
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
DL 2202 · LAS → LAX
departs 8:23 PM PT · arrives 9:36 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.