DL 2234 · BOS → TPA

took off 8:14 PM ET · expected to land 11:06 PM ET (scheduled 8:15 PM ET → 11:36 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TPA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at BOS that day

↓ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at TPA that day

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2234 · BOS → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?