Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2459
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Today
DL 2459 · LAX → PDX
departs 4:20 PM PT · arrives 6:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.