Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2464
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
DL 2464 · BOS → ATL
departs 5:55 PM ET · arrives 9:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 25%
Tue 11/3 18%
Wed 11/4 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±6 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.