DL 2543 · DEN → SEA

took off 7:40 PM MT · expected to land 8:54 PM PT (scheduled 6:39 PM MT → 8:41 PM PT)

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

LIVE

On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
54%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2543 · DEN → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?