DL 2586 · BOS → BNA

took off 8:31 PM ET · expected to land 9:51 PM CT (scheduled 8:28 PM ET → 10:20 PM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2586 · BOS → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?