Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2616
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
DL 2616 · LAX → SEA
departs 9:15 PM PT · arrives 12:03 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.