Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2653
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
DL 2653 · LAX → LAS
departs 9:25 PM PT · arrives 10:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
76%
chance · ±0 pts
+33 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
76%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +33 pts in 24h
+33 pts
76%
Yes 76%
No 24%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +35 pts in 24h
+35 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.