DL 2686 · LAX → SAT

took off 9:22 PM PT · landed 1:35 AM CT (scheduled 7:26 PM PT → 12:24 AM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are often late

↓ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SAT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling471 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.57 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2686 · LAX → SAT

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAT?