Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2772
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
DL 2772 · BOS → RDU
departs 5:04 PM ET · arrives 7:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 42%
Mon 11/2 34%
Tue 11/3 30%
Wed 11/4 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±5 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into RDU at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RDU (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.