DL 2896 · BOS → DTW

departs 8:22 PM ET · arrives 10:30 PM ET

Your aircraft is N351DN (A321), coming in as DL 518 from ATL: landed 7:19 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at BOS that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2896 · BOS → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?