Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2919
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Today
DL 2919 · BOS → SFO
departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 12:33 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 32 kt
Ceiling 9,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.