Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3023
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Today
DL 3023 · ATL → MCI
departs 8:31 PM ET · arrives 9:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.