Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3128
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
DL 3128 · AUS → SJC
departs 10:04 AM CT · arrives 11:47 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Thu 10/29 14%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 10%
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 15%
Tue 11/3 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SJC is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
↓
Arrivals into SJC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.03 in
SJC (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.