Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 39 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

DL 39 · LAX → PVG

departs 11:19 AM PT · arrives 4:23 PM CST

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at PVG more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PVG?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVG

↓ Arrivals into PVG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

PVG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 39 · LAX → PVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVG?