DL 490 · ATL → LGA

departs 8:32 PM ET · arrives 10:42 PM ET

Your aircraft is N383DZ (A321), coming in as DL 957 from DEN: landed 7:10 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 490 · ATL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?