DL 656 · ATL → SFO

left the gate 11:45 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 9:52 PM ET → 11:53 PM PT)

Your aircraft is N584NW (B753), coming in as DL 687 from PHX: landed 9:17 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ 9pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 656 · ATL → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?