Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 687 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

DL 687 · PHX → ATL

departs 1:28 PM MT · arrives 8:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±5 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day

↑ 1pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.71 in

ATL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 687 · PHX → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?