Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 716 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 6:11 PM MT (35 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Friday, October 30 Today

DL 716 · DEN → LGA

departs 5:20 PM MT · arrives 11:13 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

79% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 716 · DEN → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?