Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 747 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

DL 747 · JFK → LAX

departs 3:32 PM ET · arrives 6:09 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±7 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 747 · JFK → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?