DL 8817 · CMH → LAX

took off 5:18 PM ET · landed 6:46 PM PT (scheduled 5:12 PM ET → 7:11 PM PT)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8817 · CMH → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?