Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8909 LANDED 4:31 PM ET, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 30 Yesterday

DL 8909 · SBN → PVD

took off 3:03 PM ET · landed 4:31 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into PVD at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVD

Weather at each end

SBN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.01 in

PVD (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8909 · SBN → PVD

Odds over time