DL 8937 · YYZ → MCO

took off 12:39 AM EST · landed 2:58 AM ET (scheduled 11:27 PM EST → 2:07 AM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at MCO that day

↓ 11pm departures from YYZ are usually not late

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MCO (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8937 · YYZ → MCO

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCO?