Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8949 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Yesterday

DL 8949 · YYC → BFI

departs 12:26 PM MDT · arrives 1:07 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at BFI more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BFI?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from YYC are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 467 ft forecast at YYC that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into BFI at that hour are usually not late

↓ BFI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

YYC (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

BFI (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8949 · YYC → BFI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BFI?