Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8952 LANDED 3:16 PM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 30 Yesterday

DL 8952 · TPA → BNA

took off 2:51 PM ET · landed 3:16 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 2pm departures from TPA are often late

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8952 · TPA → BNA

Odds over time