Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 986 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

DL 986 · AUS → LAX

departs 4:15 PM CT · arrives 5:20 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 467 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ 4pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DL's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling467 ft Visibility4.66667 mi Precip0.14 in

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 986 · AUS → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?