Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1183
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
F9 1183 · LAS → LAX
departs 4:08 PM PT · arrives 5:31 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 35%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
4pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.