Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1326
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
F9 1326 · SAN → LAS
departs 8:51 PM PT · arrives 10:21 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 46%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 29%
Sun 11/1 45%
Mon 11/2 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from SAN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.